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'Katy, Bar the Door': Why Pelosi's Trip to Taiwan is Fraught With Risk of Military Escalation_我的网站

A |     "Remember what happened in 1983? Two days after 241 Marines were blown up in Lebanon, the USA invaded tiny Grenada. Overnight, the previous headlines disappeared. I think we are seeing the same today. NATO is losing badly in Ukraine and it’s going to be a long winter for the West. Pounding its imperial chest with Taiwan is now what the MSM is reporting, much less so Ukraine," suggests Jeff J. Brown, author of "The China Trilogy," editor at China Rising Radio Sinoland, and curator of the Bioweapon Truth Commission.,If Pelosi travels to Taiwan, this would be the first time a high-ranking US politician visits the place in 25 years. Last time it was Newt Gingrich, then-speaker of the US House of Representatives, who arrived on the island in 1997, ignoring the Chinese leadership's discontent.,"I said firmly, 'We want you to understand, we will defend Taiwan. Period,'" Gingrich told the press at the time, as quoted by The New York Times. However, Clinton administration officials made it clear that Gingrich "was speaking for himself.",Likewise, it appears that Pelosi's apparent visit to Taiwan is not in line with the Biden administration's China policy, argues Francesco Sisci, a Beijing-based China expert, author, and columnist.,"American politics is not set like an omniscient Leviathan," the China expert says. "The Congress, the Senate, the executive all move according to different agendas which do not often coincide and are in conflict with one another. The issue is that there is a growing anti-Beijing sentiment in America and this has sometimes bursts which aren’t fully sorted out. I believe the visit is an expression of a sentiment, rather than of a clear cut plan.",According to CNN, Pelosi's initiative has triggered concerns both in the Biden administration and the Pentagon, with US national security officials "quietly working to convince House Speaker Nancy Pelosi of the risks of her potential trip to Taiwan." While in 1997 Beijing and Washington managed to solve the dilemma, this time the PRC leadership might opt for a harsher response, CNN and The Guardian have warned.,US Military Expansion in Asia-Pacific is Part of Plan to Take on Russo-China Tandem, Scholar Says28 July, 16:15 GMT,Washington has been fanning US-Sino tensions for quite a while, starting with Donald Trump's tariff war against Beijing, which has yet to be halted by Joe Biden. In a candid phone conversation, Chinese President Xi Jinping warned his American counterpart against "playing with fire" over Taiwan and explained that any involvement would ultimately backfire on the US.,"A Chinese general has publicly declared that Pelosi’s visit could entail a military response from Beijing," Brown says. "China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs has repeated this. Now, with Xi’s 'You get burned playing with fire' metaphor, I think there would be a military response.",Senior Colonel Tan Kefei, a spokesperson for China's Ministry of Defense, stated on July 26: "If the US insists on taking its own course, the Chinese military will never sit idly by, and it will definitely take strong actions to thwart any external force's interference.",Tan highlighted that Pelosi's visit to Taiwan would "seriously violate the one-China principle" and "seriously harm China's sovereignty and territorial integrity, and seriously damage the political foundation of China-US relations.",Meanwhile, Brown surmises that China's hypothetical response "might include a declared no-fly zone." However, there is a "much more elegant option," according to the author:,"[China could] take over Taiwan’s Kinmen Island, which is only two kilometers from Xiamen, off China’s Fujian Province coast. It would take only a few hours. I do not think Beijing will strike any US targets, unless attacked first.",North Korea Ready to Mobilize Nuclear Deterrence Forces at Any Moment - Kim Jong Un28 July, 01:13 GMT,The scholar also does not rule out that the Democratic People's Republic of Korea's (DPRK) remark, made earlier this week, that Pyongyang is “fully prepared” for any military conflict with the United States is no coincidence.,"Does Biden know that China and nuclear-armed North Korea have had a mutual defense treaty since 1961?" Brown asks rhetorically. "NATO is being bled dry in Ukraine and it is imperial folly, hubris or geopolitical brinkmanship to think it can fight East Asia’s biggest and most powerful military, which is only 200 km from Taiwan.",For his part, Sisci believes that the PRC could opt for an asymmetrical non-military response. Still, the unfolding crisis is complicated by the fact that Washington is already involved in a confrontation with Russia, raising questions as to whether the US is capable of taking on Moscow and Beijing at once.,"I don’t think that either China or the US wants an escalation," says Sisci. "The talk between Biden and Xi Jinping was to avoid an escalation.",Brown also believes that Beijing's warnings have been heard by Washington.,"Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan has been bandied about by Washington for months now," he says. "A supposed Covid-19 infection scuttled the first trial balloon. After Biden’s phone call yesterday with Xi, I suspect another American 'postponement' is likely to occur. If not, then 'Katy, bar the door!'"。    今日，2026年科隆游戏展官方释出完整直播日程与参展游戏阵容。作为每年下半年极具影响力的游戏展会，本届科隆展看点十足。

B | 多款知名IP续作、全新新作以及独立精品游戏集中亮相，尤其是GTA6首次深度实机演示、《巫师3：旧时曲》专属直播专场，早早吸引了大量玩家的关注。

C | 展会开幕夜直播（ONL）将于北京时间8月26日凌晨2点开播，是本次展会的首轮重磅直播内容。本次直播亮相的游戏阵容十分丰厚，包含《巫师3：旧时曲》《最终幻想7：启示》《战争机器：E‑Day》《无限大》《湮灭之潮》《地铁2039》《权力的游戏：维斯特洛之战》《术士：龙与地下城》等作品。参照往届展会惯例，直播期间大概率会带来未提前公布的全新游戏内容。CDPR将在8月26日至30日期间开启持续专属直播，全程围绕《巫师3：旧时曲》展开。

D | 直播会放出游戏前瞻预告、制作团队访谈、嘉宾互动环节，同时公开珍贵的幕后开发故事，让玩家近距离了解这款新作的研发细节与内容亮点。Xbox本次准备了两场专场发布会，分时段展示旗下游戏产品。首场直播定在北京时间8月26日22点（英国夏令时8月26日15点）。

E | 本次展出的游戏涵盖多款人气系列续作，包括《神鬼寓言》《战争机器：E‑Day》《我的世界地下城2》《极限竞速：地平线6》《地铁2039》《异形：隔离2》等。

F | Xbox第二场发布会开播时间为北京时间8月27日22点（英国夏令时8月27日15点），登场作品包含《使命召唤：现代战争4》《微软飞行模拟2024》《异于天堂》。分两天开展直播的形式，能够给到每款游戏更充足的展示时长，也便于玩家按需观看自己感兴趣的内容。FutureGamesShow发布会安排在北京时间8月27日凌晨1点（英国夏令时8月26日18点）。本场直播体量充足，将展示超40款游戏的相关内容，其中13款作品会进行全球首发预告。同时直播还会放出独家游戏情报，并由开发者对游戏内容进行深度拆解，大多为中小团队的新锐游戏作品。由IGN制作的独立游戏专场AwesomeIndies，开播时间为北京时间8月28日凌晨2点（英国夏令时8月27日19点）。整场直播时长介于60至75分钟，主打各类优质独立游戏内容。

G | 不仅为小众游戏提供了曝光渠道，也能让玩家一次性批量了解多款全新独立游戏的最新动态。本届科隆游戏展的最大热门内容，当属《GTA6》专属深度展示环节。

H | 该环节直播时间为北京时间8月28日凌晨3点（英国夏令时8月27日20点），会公开本作的全球首次深度实机演示，也是本届展会最受玩家和行业关注的内容。综合本次全部直播排期来看，2026科隆游戏展内容排布紧凑、品类丰富。3A大作续作、原创新作、优质独立游戏依次亮相，题材和玩法覆盖广泛，能够适配不同玩家的喜好。你最期待本届科隆游戏展哪一款游戏的情报？欢迎在评论区留下你的看法~。

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